Mês: outubro 2019

War in Syria

Revisiting the win-win-win-win outcome in Syria   The Saker Oct. 23, 2019   In his recent article “The Road to Damascus: How the Syria War Was Won” Pepe Escobar summarized the outcome of the war in Syria in the following way: “It’s a quadruple win. The U.S. performs a face saving withdrawal, which Trump can sell as avoiding a conflict with NATO ally Turkey. Turkey has the guarantee – by the Russians – that the Syrian Army will be in control of the Turkish-Syrian border. Russia prevents a war escalation and keeps the Russia-Iran-Turkey peace process alive. And Syria will eventually regain control of the entire northeast.” This otherwise excellent summary overlooks two out of three members of the “Axis of Kindness”, including Israel and the KSA.  Of course, later in his analysis Pepe does address these actors, and also includes Kuwait. Furthermore, a thorough discussion of what took place would have to also include China, Hezbollah, Yemen and the EU (well, the ones that matter, the UK and France.  The rest are just voiceless colonies of the USA). Most of the analyses of what just took place focused on the “what”.  I will try to look into the “why” and the “how” of what just happened in Syria.  Still,  I don’t propose to make such a detailed analysis, but I do want to re-classify the actors in a...

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SI

Situação Internacional   João da Silveira     Seg. 21 SÍRIA :  ALIANÇA ENTRE SAA E CURDOS PREVINE INVASÃO TURCA : (VestiNews)….   A CHINA E O OCIDENTE :  SPENGLER OU DAVID P. GOLDMAN : ‘Você nunca pode ser amigo da China’ (Urs Gehriger). Spengler (David P. Goldman) – filósofo, economista, matemático e musicólogo – votou em Trump para presidente em 2016 e deverá votar nele novamente em 2020. O título dessa entrevista – ‘Você nunca pode ser amigo da China’ – me faz lembrar de importante livro que li na juventude, Red Star Over China, de Edgar Snow, cuja primeira edição foi de 1937. Snow será sempre lembrado lá e cá como amigo da China. Então fico a pensar que Edgar Snow personificou o espírito daquele tempo e David P. Goldman, que nunca vai ser amigo da China, personifica o espírito atual….   Ter. 22 POLÍTICA EXTERNA DOS ESTADOS UNIDOS :  O PRESIDENTE E OFICIAIS DO GOVERNO : Quando se desencontram o resultado é o caos (MoonOfAlabama)….   USA ELEIÇÃO 2020 :  DOS MALES O MENOR NA NAÇÃO ZUMBI : Todo o mundo sabe que o Partido Democrata está morto, menos os Democratas (HelenOfDesTroy)….   BOLÍVIA :  ELEIÇÃO 2019 : Evo Morales é reeleito presidente, mas a oposição não aceita o resultado (Paul Antonopoulos)….   Qua. 23   Qui. 24   Sex. 25 BOLSONARO NA CHINA :  “Bolsonaro...

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Russian Federation

SitRep   Patrick Armstrong Oct. 24, 2019   SYRIA. A master class on patient, intelligent diplomacy engaging all players combined with the judicial application of force, supported by the bravery and skill of its military culminating in the recent screenplay in seven acts. 1 Ankara says it will invade; 2 Washington pulls out (helped along with stones, jeers and vegetables, note the contrast with the Russian reception); 3 Kurds instantly do a deal with Damascus; 4 Syrian army and Russian MPs immediately move; 5 Trump sends some minions to “negotiate” a “ceasefire”; 6 Putin and Erdoğan wrap it up; 7 Ankara says no need for more fighting. Trump announces. Everybody wins except the war party. I have two questions: how involved was Trump in writing the script? (certainly he outwitted the war party) and did any Turkish troops actually cross the border? (don’t see why they needed to). Next stop Idlib. (Russian MP video – Syria owes these men (and women) a lot – usually the first into no man’s land.) I can’t resist saying that consumers of the Western corporate media would have been dumbfounded by every act of the play – still are; NATO and the US Senate ditto. The Four A’s of American Policy Failure in Syria. Saker’s analysis. DELAMINATION. Did US Secretary of State Pompeo just threaten military action against a NATO ally? Where would that...

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Bill Bonner’s dancing closer to the exits…

Plenty More Money Where That Came From   Maria Bonaventura Oct. 27, 2019   When the going gets tough, just fire up the printing presses… and keep the dollar bills coming. At least, that’s what the crackpot economists at the Federal Reserve believe… as do enlightened economics professors around the world. But as longtime Diary readers know, every party comes to an end eventually. And the party that’s been raging in our fake-money economy is no exception. Bill’s advice this week? Start dancing closer to the exits… Regards, Maria Bonaventura Managing Editor, Bill Bonner’s Diary P.S. If, like us, you’ve been eager to get an update from Bill about his latest DYI projects… you’re in luck. Check out Monday’s Diary (the first link below) for a glimpse into Bill’s Irish home renovation, nearly finished.   When the Going Gets Tough, Just Add Liquidity Economies shrink and grow. Markets go up and down. At least, that’s how it used to be. But modern economists have found a new way… a “better” way… to keep the world economy in check: pump it with fake money. How long can they keep it up before it all collapses? Pipe Dreams One of the winners of the Nobel Prize in economics this year had an epiphany… The economy is like a system of pipes, she says. That means all its troubles can be solved with a wrench....

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Spengler

‘You can never be China’s friend’   Urs Gehriger Oct. 21, 2019   He was a phantom among journalists, using the mysterious nom de plume, “Spengler.” Like his German philosopher namesake, the cultural critic returned again and again to his despairing theories of the decline of the West. The work of “Spengler” drew from a deep and rich intellectual pool. And since the herald has revealed his true identity, we learn why. David P Goldman – philosopher, economist, mathematician and musicologist – is a Renaissance man. A former investment banker for the Bank of America and Credit Suisse, the American is known for his widely read column for Forbes magazine and Asia Times. Dutch writer Leon de Winter crowns Goldman’s work as “among the most interesting in the world.” We meet at the noble Princeton Club in Midtown Manhattan where Goldman is a member. He is intensively involved with China. Informed by close experience in the country and with its people, Goldman counsels caution toward the aggressive Asian empire. But before training a critical eye on the East, the keen observer sharply examines his own culture and the president for whom he voted in 2016. As we speak, the country is in turmoil. For the fourth time in US history, a president might be impeached. Your thoughts? Trump’s real liability isn’t impeachment. It’s China and the economy. What the Trump administration has...

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