Mês: dezembro 2018

INF

The China Agenda Behind Trump Leaving the INF Treaty   Richard Bitzinger Dec. 10, 2018   A recent decision by the Trump administration could have major implications for defense and security in Asia, although you could be forgiven for missing it, what with the Democratic landslide in the midterm elections and the Mueller investigation causing near-daily meltdowns by America’s commander-in-chief. The decision the Trump administration announced was that the US will withdraw from the 1987 Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty in 60 days, unless Russia stops testing weapons that Washington says are in violation of the agreement. The INF Treaty was the capstone of arms control efforts undertaken during the late 1980s, a deal signed by President Ronald Reagan and Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev to ban the development, production and deployment of nuclear-tipped ballistic and ground-launched cruise missiles with a range greater than 500 kilometers and less than 5,500 kilometers. The agreement came about after the Soviets started deploying intermediate-range missiles such as the SS-20 in Eastern Europe in the late 1970s. Given its mobility, load and accuracy, the SS-20 was regarded as a highly effective offensive nuclear weapon that threatened all of NATO Europe. After considerable and often acrimonious debate, NATO responded by emplacing its own INF in Western Europe, mainly the Pershing II ballistic missile and the Ground-Launched Cruise Missile (GLCM). It was a move that caused...

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Trade War

China seeks framework for November deal with Trump   David P. Goldman Oct. 23, 2018   Ahead of a possible meeting next month between US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, the White House tempered any optimism that a trade truce with Beijing is imminent when top economic advisor Larry Kudlow accused China on Sunday of doing “nothing” to defuse trade tensions. But some Chinese officials and government advisers recently emphasized that China will show patience in addressing American trade demands, postponing if necessary some of its plans to become self-sufficient in high-tech industry. Raising per capita income from the present US$9,000 a year to mid-five figures over the next ten years or so is the country’s top priority, and the leadership views trade war with the United States as a distraction. China, they believe, is prepared to make concessions to American demands for changes in the country’s industrial policy without changing its long-term trajectory. Several officials said they hoped that a meeting between Trump and Xi at the Group of Twenty summit in Argentina next month might break the ice. Earlier this year, China encouraged the US to give it a shopping list of items it might buy to reduce the bilateral trade deficit. To China’s consternation, the American side added the demand that China reduce subsidies to a manufacturing industry that competes with the...

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SI

Situação Internacional   João da Silveira     Seg. 3 BOLSONARO PRESIDENTE ELEITO : Novas ameaças contra Bolsonaro, segundo o general Sérgio Etchegoyen, exigindo cuidados mais intensos e mais precisos… A cena brasileira é um arremedo da cena usamericana. Lá é Trump. Cá é Bolsonaro. Trump é trump. O nível ou estilo é o grosseiro popular e rastaquera, se bem que Bolsonaro anda bastante maneiro depois de eleito presidente, não parecendo tanto assim com o espetaculoso Trump. Poucos acreditavam que Trump chegasse à presidência com suas grosserias e rastaquerismo, mas chegou até para surpresa de si mesmo. Poucos acreditavam que Bolsonaro chegasse, mas uma facada infeliz da oposição o colocou na presidência da República, sem que ele precisasse prosseguir com sua campanha. Sua eleição foi uma reação emocional dos brasileiros. Os brasileiros são sentimentais. Trump sofre todo tipo de ameaças, inclusive a do impeachment. Isso tornou-se normal na grande ‘democracia’ usamericana, tornou-se padrão. Bolsonaro sofre ameaças porque também ‘samos’ democracia… No Itamaraty, que chamou Bolsonaro de zelota  do Clube Militar, ele vai poder fazer agora, segundo o desejo Antagonista, uma “faxina antipetista”. Será que Bolsonaro fará mesmo tal faxina? Trump foi eleito prometendo drenar o “pântano” que é o Distrito de Colúmbia. Dois anos já de seu governo e o pântano continua mais pantanoso do que nunca. Até onde sei, Bolsonaro não prometeu faxina no Itamaraty… Diz-se que a fórmula de...

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Diplomacy

Waste of Time with Washington   Stephen Lendman Dec. 6, 2018   The US is a serial lawbreaker, operating by its own rules, no others. Time and again, it flagrantly breaches international treaties, Security Council resolutions, and other rule of law principles, including its own Constitution. Diplomacy with Republicans and undemocratic Dems is an exercise in futility. Trump’s JCPOA pullout and threatened INF Treaty withdrawal show Washington can never be trusted. Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova’s proposed US outreach to discuss INF Treaty bilateral differences is well intended – despite knowing nothing is accomplished when talks with Washington are held, so why bother. It’s just a matter of time before the US breaches another promise. They’re hollow when made. Kremlin good intentions aren’t enough to overcome US duplicity and implacable hostility toward Russia. “We are ready to continue the dialogue in appropriate formats on the entire range of problems related to this document on the basis of professionalism and mutual respect, without putting forward unsubstantiated accusations and ultimatums. Our proposals are well known and remain on the negotiating table,” said Zakharova, adding: “We have admitted (US) documents for further consideration. This text again includes accusations in the form of unfounded and unsubstantiated information about Russia’s alleged violations of this deal.” Comments to Washington like the above and similar remarks are like talking to a wall. The US demands...

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George H. W. Bush v. Noam Chomsky

A Killer Dies, a Teacher Lives   Paul Street Dec. 3, 2018   A Humble Man Who Liked to Wear Socks The obsequious praise of the life and legacy of the now deceased mad-dog killer George H. W. Bush (1924-2018) on the supposedly liberal and left cable networks CNN and MSNBC this last weekend was really something. Some of this historical ass-kissing was practically comedic.  I heard the power-worshipping “presidential historian” and occasional plagiarist Doris Kearns-Goodwin fondly recall getting stuck in the Bush’s Kennebunkport toilet. Daddy Bush graciously broke the bathroom lock with a hammer and then told Kearns-Goodwin, “well, at least you write well.”  A special memory! Kearns-Goodwin also lovingly remembered that both Bush and her husband enjoyed “wearing socks.” On their feet? Who knew? We saw a clip from the junior mad-dog killer George W. Bush43 remembering that the senior Bush41 reached out and touched his hand after Dubya gave a speech at a memorial service in the wake of the 9/11 jetliner attacks.  It was an act of “fatherly love” that Bush Junior could never forget. MSNBC fake-progressive commentator and Obama fanatic Jonathan Alter praised Daddy Bush for writing nice personal notes to people – not nasty Tweets like a certain orange president today. (Even Trump himself got some semi-praise for calling Bush41 “a wonderful guy who loved his family.” It was almost as if the...

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