Mês: dezembro 2018

World Order

Is Bolsonaro’s Brazil Stupid Enough To Ally With USAmerica?   Paul Craig Roberts Dec. 11, 2018.   The hubris and arrogance of Washington have been at work since the Clinton regime to destroy the power and relevance of the United States. This website has an international audience. The most asked question from this audience is the world order. There is a realization that Washington’s control might weaken, a development people abroad see as hopeful. They ask me for verification of their hope. Here is my answer: The world order has already changed.  China has a larger and more powerful industrial and manufacturing based economy than the US, and China’s potential domestic consumer market is four times larger than that of the US. As economies are consumer based, China’s potential is an economy four times larger than that of the US. Russia has a far more capable military with weapon systems unmatched by the US. The US is drowning in debt, and the illegal and irresponsible sanctions that Washington tries to impose on others are driving the world’s largest countries away from the use of the US dollar as world reserve currency and away from Western clearance systems such as SWIFT.  The United States already has one foot in the grave.  Any country sufficiently stupid to ally with the US is allied with a dead man walking. President Eisenhower, a...

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SI

Situação Internacional   João da Silveira     Seg. 10 BOLSONARO PRESIDENTE ELEITO : As provas do empréstimo… Moro: Bolsonaro “já esclareceu a parte que lhe cabe”… O Antagonista: Bolsonaro ainda não esclareceu nada. Pois é, Sérgio Moro deve estar vendo que na política, diferentemente da judicatura, o jogo é instantâneo, bruto e sem a sustentação de autos. Ele parece perceber que é preciso cuidado… O senador Renan Calheiros faz lembrar ao senador Flávio Bolsonaro a existência do Conselho de Ética… E Celso Amorim quer uma frente ampla um pouco mais à direita… O futuro governo e a futura oposição estão se organizando….   G-20 ARGENTINA : O que não aconteceu no G-20 foi muito mais importante do que o que aconteceu, diz Alastair Crooke….   USA & CHINA : GUERRA TECNOLÓGICA : A prisão de Meng Wanzhou quando trocava de avião em Vancouver, Canadá, foi o momento Franz Ferdinand de USAmérica. Do quê que a senhora Meng era acusada? Ora, de nenhum crime genuíno e nem mesmo de uma contravenção. Ao invés disso, ela aparentemente topou com o programa bicho papão do Estado Profundo. “Officially, her company is accused of using shell companies to access the Iranian market in defiance of U.S. sanctions on the country. That is, it is not enough for the feds to regulate every living creature and every transaction that takes place in the 50 states. They also...

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INF

The China Agenda Behind Trump Leaving the INF Treaty   Richard Bitzinger Dec. 10, 2018   A recent decision by the Trump administration could have major implications for defense and security in Asia, although you could be forgiven for missing it, what with the Democratic landslide in the midterm elections and the Mueller investigation causing near-daily meltdowns by America’s commander-in-chief. The decision the Trump administration announced was that the US will withdraw from the 1987 Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty in 60 days, unless Russia stops testing weapons that Washington says are in violation of the agreement. The INF Treaty was the capstone of arms control efforts undertaken during the late 1980s, a deal signed by President Ronald Reagan and Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev to ban the development, production and deployment of nuclear-tipped ballistic and ground-launched cruise missiles with a range greater than 500 kilometers and less than 5,500 kilometers. The agreement came about after the Soviets started deploying intermediate-range missiles such as the SS-20 in Eastern Europe in the late 1970s. Given its mobility, load and accuracy, the SS-20 was regarded as a highly effective offensive nuclear weapon that threatened all of NATO Europe. After considerable and often acrimonious debate, NATO responded by emplacing its own INF in Western Europe, mainly the Pershing II ballistic missile and the Ground-Launched Cruise Missile (GLCM). It was a move that caused...

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Trade War

China seeks framework for November deal with Trump   David P. Goldman Oct. 23, 2018   Ahead of a possible meeting next month between US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, the White House tempered any optimism that a trade truce with Beijing is imminent when top economic advisor Larry Kudlow accused China on Sunday of doing “nothing” to defuse trade tensions. But some Chinese officials and government advisers recently emphasized that China will show patience in addressing American trade demands, postponing if necessary some of its plans to become self-sufficient in high-tech industry. Raising per capita income from the present US$9,000 a year to mid-five figures over the next ten years or so is the country’s top priority, and the leadership views trade war with the United States as a distraction. China, they believe, is prepared to make concessions to American demands for changes in the country’s industrial policy without changing its long-term trajectory. Several officials said they hoped that a meeting between Trump and Xi at the Group of Twenty summit in Argentina next month might break the ice. Earlier this year, China encouraged the US to give it a shopping list of items it might buy to reduce the bilateral trade deficit. To China’s consternation, the American side added the demand that China reduce subsidies to a manufacturing industry that competes with the...

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SI

Situação Internacional   João da Silveira     Seg. 3 BOLSONARO PRESIDENTE ELEITO : Novas ameaças contra Bolsonaro, segundo o general Sérgio Etchegoyen, exigindo cuidados mais intensos e mais precisos… A cena brasileira é um arremedo da cena usamericana. Lá é Trump. Cá é Bolsonaro. Trump é trump. O nível ou estilo é o grosseiro popular e rastaquera, se bem que Bolsonaro anda bastante maneiro depois de eleito presidente, não parecendo tanto assim com o espetaculoso Trump. Poucos acreditavam que Trump chegasse à presidência com suas grosserias e rastaquerismo, mas chegou até para surpresa de si mesmo. Poucos acreditavam que Bolsonaro chegasse, mas uma facada infeliz da oposição o colocou na presidência da República, sem que ele precisasse prosseguir com sua campanha. Sua eleição foi uma reação emocional dos brasileiros. Os brasileiros são sentimentais. Trump sofre todo tipo de ameaças, inclusive a do impeachment. Isso tornou-se normal na grande ‘democracia’ usamericana, tornou-se padrão. Bolsonaro sofre ameaças porque também ‘samos’ democracia… No Itamaraty, que chamou Bolsonaro de zelota  do Clube Militar, ele vai poder fazer agora, segundo o desejo Antagonista, uma “faxina antipetista”. Será que Bolsonaro fará mesmo tal faxina? Trump foi eleito prometendo drenar o “pântano” que é o Distrito de Colúmbia. Dois anos já de seu governo e o pântano continua mais pantanoso do que nunca. Até onde sei, Bolsonaro não prometeu faxina no Itamaraty… Diz-se que a fórmula de...

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